US military funding social science research to prepare for future civil disorder

One of the consequences of the effects of the changing world will be civil disorder in many places. It should come as no surprise, then, that one of the world’s most powerful militaries is funding research into the potential future consequences of this disorder, as this article from the Guardian illustrates:

Launched in 2008 – the year of the global banking crisis – the DoD ‘Minerva Research Initiative’ partners with universities “to improve DoD’s basic understanding of the social, cultural, behavioral, and political forces that shape regions of the world of strategic importance to the US.”

The US military is planning for climate change-related civil unrest in the near future. (Image credit)

The US military is planning for climate change-related civil disorder in the near future.
(Image credit)


Among the projects awarded for the period 2014-2017 is a Cornell University-led study managed by the US Air Force Office of Scientific Research which aims to develop an empirical model “of the dynamics of social movement mobilisation and contagions.” The project will determine “the critical mass (tipping point)” of social contagians by studying their “digital traces” in the cases of “the 2011 Egyptian revolution, the 2011 Russian Duma elections, the 2012 Nigerian fuel subsidy crisis and the 2013 Gazi park protests in Turkey.”

In 2013, Minerva funded a University of Maryland project in collaboration with the US Department of Energy’s Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to gauge the risk of civil unrest due to climate change. The three-year $1.9 million project is developing models to anticipate what could happen to societies under a range of potential climate change scenarios.

To read more about the changing world and what you can do to prepare, visit: www.newmessage.org

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