Don’t rule out a full-scale conflict in this tug of war

Hussein Ibish, a writer at The National, comments on the recent outbreak of violence between Israel and Hizbollah and the potential for this to develop into a larger conflict:

A recent airstrike by Israel against a Hizbollah convoy resulted in the death of an Iranian general. This has drawn rebuke from Iranian officials and could well lead to greater conflict in the near future.  Image credit: boooyaka on freeimages.com

A recent airstrike by Israel against a Hizbollah convoy resulted in the death of an Iranian general. This has drawn rebuke from Iranian officials and could well lead to greater conflict in the near future.
Image credit: boooyaka on freeimages.com

The latest flare-up of violence between Israel and Hizbollah along both the Lebanese and the Syrian borders with Israel should, in theory, be over for now. Neither Israel nor Hizbollah are showing an interest in further escalation. But a third main player – Iran – may not be satisfied with that.

Tehran has taken Israel’s attack of January 18 very seriously. The air raid in the Quneitra area of the Golan Heights targeted a Hizbollah convoy but among the dead was a senior Iranian general, Mohammad Allahdadi. Ten days after the Quneitra attack, Hizbollah struck Israeli troops on the border with Lebanon, killing two and injuring six.

There are indications that Tehran may be preparing to push Hizbollah to exact more of a price from Israel, or even that Iran might take retaliatory action on its own. And Iran may not be prepared to let Israel have the last word by ruling out Hizbollah deployments in the Golan Heights either.

To read more about the changing world and what you can do to prepare, visit: www.greatwavesofchange.org

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